Scenario No. 1

Scenario #1
It is a war, and there are 600 soldiers, including a general. They are stuck in a toxic sewer, and there are two paths that they can take.

If the soldiers take the first path, there is a 1/3 chance that all 600 men will survive, but a 2/3 chance that ALL OF THEM WILL DIE.

IF the soldiers take the second path, only 200 soldiers can survive.

Which path would you take?

Scenario #1.5
Another group of 600 soldiers are stuck in a poisonous sewer and have two paths to take.

If they take the first path, there is a 1/3 chance that all of the soldiers will survive, but a 2/3 chance none of them will.

If the soldiers take the second path, 400 of them will die.

Which path would you take?